Is a EuroMillions play worth €2.50?
At the smallest jackpot, €17 million, a €2.50 play pays back €0.582 on average: you lose €76.71 of every €100. Type in this draw's jackpot below.
What a play pays back
Type a jackpot of 0 or more, and the plays in the draw, or leave that empty.
A €2.50 play pays back €0.582 on average.
You lose €76.71 of every €100 you spend.
€0.113 of that comes from the jackpot and €0.469 from the other prizes.
With that many plays, a jackpot winner can expect to share it: on average a winner keeps 93%.
At this jackpot, a play is worth less than its price.
At this jackpot the average payback is above the price, before tax. That average rests on a 1 in 139,838,160 chance: almost every play still loses its whole price.
A play pays back its price on average only once the jackpot reaches about €305 million, before tax.
The jackpot is capped at €250 million, and a play would pay back its price on average only at about €305 million. So at any jackpot, a play pays back less than it costs.
What each prize adds to a play
| Numbers matched | Chance | Prize | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 + 2 Lucky Stars | 1 in 139,838,160 | €17 million | €0.113 |
| 5 + 1 Lucky Star | 1 in 6,991,908 | about €572,079 | €0.082 |
| 5 | 1 in 3,107,515 | about €22,284 | €0.007 |
| 4 + 2 Lucky Stars | 1 in 621,503 | about €969 | €0.002 |
| 4 + 1 Lucky Star | 1 in 31,075 | about €121 | €0.004 |
| 3 + 2 Lucky Stars | 1 in 14,125 | about €45 | €0.003 |
| 4 | 1 in 13,811 | about €41 | €0.003 |
| 2 + 2 Lucky Stars | 1 in 985 | about €10 | €0.010 |
| 3 + 1 Lucky Star | 1 in 706 | about €11 | €0.016 |
| 3 | 1 in 314 | about €10 | €0.032 |
| 1 + 2 Lucky Stars | 1 in 188 | about €5 | €0.027 |
| 2 + 1 Lucky Star | 1 in 49.27 | about €5 | €0.101 |
| 2 | 1 in 21.90 | about €4 | €0.183 |
| Average payback | €0.582 |
Prizes marked "about" are shares of a prize fund: these are the amounts one recent draw paid (in the sources below), and they change every draw.
The jackpot line allows for sharing with other winners when you give the plays in the draw.
How it is worked out
A play's average payback is the sum, over every prize, of its chance times its amount. The table above does exactly that, line by line.
When more than one play wins the jackpot, the winners share it. If a draw sells T plays, the number of other winners is very close to a Poisson count with an average of λ = T × the jackpot chance, and a winner keeps on average (1 − e−λ) ÷ λ of the jackpot.
The break-even jackpot is the one at which the average payback equals the price of a play.
What this leaves out
- Tax: every figure is before any tax on winnings.
- Time: a prize paid in instalments counts at its full face value here.
- Your one play: an average says nothing about a single play. The chance of any prize is 1 in 12.97, so most plays win nothing.
Sources
The chances are those of the odds page, checked the same way. Prizes and sales were read from these pages:
- EuroMillions rules, Loterie Nationale Belgium (February 2023), checked 3 November 2026
- EuroMillions rules, Loterie Nationale Luxembourg (January 2026), checked 3 November 2026
- EuroMillions rules, FDJ (March 2025), checked 3 November 2026
- EuroMillions game information, Irish National Lottery, checked 3 November 2026
- EuroMillions results, Irish National Lottery: prizes paid and winners of each tier, checked 3 November 2026
EuroMillions is run by a group of European national lotteries. TrainYourOdds is independent and not connected with any lottery operator.