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TrainYourOdds

SuperEnalotto simulator: play every draw for years

We ran 10,000 players who each bought one SuperEnalotto play in every draw for 20 years: 4,160 draws and €4,160 each. The typical result was -€2,744, and only 0.33% of them ended ahead. Choose your own habit below.

Your own habit

The operator publishes no starting jackpot; here it starts at an assumed €1 million and grows while nobody wins it. Type any amount.

The typical result: -€2,744.

  • Plays per draw: 1
  • Years: 20
  • Draws: 4,160
  • Each player spent: €4,160

0.33% of the players ended ahead, and 35% were ahead at some point along the way.

The exact average is -€2,545, and the 10,000 players here averaged -€2,569. The typical player does worse than the average, because a few large wins pull the average up.

Players who won the jackpot: 0 of 10,000.

Where the players ended, from the unluckiest to the top 1 in 20

-€3,248-€2,140

The 500 luckiest players ended further right, off the chart: a few large wins lie so far away that they would flatten every other bar.

Of 10,000 playersResult
The luckiest+€27,120
1 in 20 did better than-€2,140
1 in 4 did better than-€2,502
The player in the middle-€2,744
1 in 4 did worse than-€2,850
1 in 20 did worse than-€2,973
The unluckiest-€3,248

This run: trainyourodds. Link to this run: the same link always gives the same players.

How the simulation works

Every player plays in every draw. For each play, one random number picks the outcome according to the exact chances on the odds page, so the 10,000 players follow the same table. The prizes are those of the "is it worth it?" page.

The random numbers come from a generator (xoshiro128**) that starts from a code, the "seed". The same seed always gives exactly the same players, which is why a link can show a run again. The button picks a new seed every time.

The exact average does not come from the simulation: it is what you spend times the average loss of a play. The average of the 10,000 players lands close to it, and the gap between them shows how much luck matters even across that many players.

What this leaves out

Sources

The chances are those of the odds page, checked the same way. Prizes and sales were read from these pages:

SuperEnalotto is run by Sisal under a concession from ADM, the Italian customs and monopolies agency. TrainYourOdds is independent and not connected with any lottery operator.